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Statistics: Covid & Vaccines

York Region, had another run failure. Based on calculation the virus Ontario has 90 more days before the virus turns endemic Toronto has 20 days.
 

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York had a major domino on range today. It appears Halloween generated more cases than Thanks-giving homogenous mixing of genes (Family), is not as important as heterogeneous mixing (strangers).
Ontario 47 days from turning endemic.
 

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Noticed interesting pattern Germany and Canada, have very similar graphs for Covid cases. looks like both countries are identical. France right next door looks nothing like Canada or Germany. weird. I do not believe in coincidences.
 
Ronald Zeeman said:
Noticed interesting pattern Germany and Canada, have very similar graphs for Covid cases. looks like both countries are identical. France right next door looks nothing like Canada or Germany. weird. I do not believe in coincidences.
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What do you think the reason is?
 
I suspect we are using similar approaches to containing the spread. The one scientist who has a good understanding of how it Covid works is German, not sure how influential he is. Even provinces do not look like each other. In my statistics Peel region is the most informative two cities right next too each other similar size different ethic mixes. could not get a more natural experiment. very telling. the patterns I see just keep pouring out. Too much to write about.
 
interpreting the charts. example what does the lower control limit mean. On the death chart -23 does not mean dead people that are actually alive but rather people that were diagnosed as having died from covid actually they died from other causes.
 

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One Important lesson I learned taking quality courses years ago engineering specifications are artificial, natures, natural inflection points are better indicators. on a control chart a failure is 3 standard deviations for initial failures, for particle physics, 6 is the magic number for significance. Peel reached 4 so far.
6 is parts per billion.
 

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How Covid works is much more complex even the experts have admitted too, low infection rates so far so it is not the black plague, way to much hype. These numbers are accurate. lots of information if you know how to interpret.
 
Ronald Zeeman said:
How Covid works is much more complex even the experts have admitted too, low infection rates so far so it is not the black plague, way to much hype. These numbers are accurate. lots of information if you know how to interpret.
Click to expand...

It's good that we're learning more about the disease as time progresses. It was a good idea to err on the side of caution and there was probably a valid reason to be extreme in the reaction to what was largely an unknown. Finding out that overall the disease isn't as deadly on a wide scale, etc is good news for sure. The other good news with this is that most humans won't accept permanent extreme measures to this disease (e.g. 24/7 public worldwide masking, boosters every six months for life, lockdowns, etc); they just won't. People have every right to expect that life should revert to the way it was before Covid. Dystopia isn't an ideal that (most) humans would accept.
 
IT will eventually be come endemic. Peel has reached this point already, Toronto in a week or so, Ontario a couple of more months. the case rate drops dramatically.
lower than getting a cold.
 
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Ronald Zeeman said:
How Covid works is much more complex even the experts have admitted too, low infection rates so far so it is not the black plague, way to much hype. These numbers are accurate. lots of information if you know how to interpret.
Click to expand...
Makes me wonder… How does its rate of infection compare with that of the plague? If you had a way to know accurate population numbers and all, I mean. Obviously our ability to move around in cars and planes etc., makes this pandemic a very different critter.
 
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