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Statistics: Covid & Vaccines

I Have a great courses DVD's on the plague, it killed a significant portion Europe's population 30 to 60% a lot worse than Covid. This is one large puzzle each piece brings the truth closer and closer.
 
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Before I retired I worked at a paint shop that painted large coils of steel aluminum tin plate, galvanized whatever the customer wanted. We also did printing, as the company lab tech My main responsibility was colour control. the printing was what they called Gravure style printing. this a print that is made by a whole series of basically dots of differing intensity. MY SPC Results for Covid is making a picture of the infection one data point at a time. The. big picture is finally coming into focus, also supporting my hypothesis. to see what I see check the apex on each chart
high lighted in Orange. Just one large puzzle one data point at a time.
 

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Ronald Zeeman said:
The picture is slowly clariyfing, see the lower control limits.
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What is the picture at this point? What is the "truth" and what is the "large puzzle piece"? I'm interested in your explanations based on your analysis, but I'm a laymen so please "dumb it down" for me.
 
the truth is what is the basis for covid, it seems to be tied in with the immune system the larger puzzle is the same as how I unravelled a very complex colour control of prints for siding and roofing for residential and commercial buildings just follow the evidence to see where it goes.
controlling color was considered was considered not possible on a print from various batch's of paint , ink and or runs even years apart. 20 ton coils consistent over a whole run. Keep in mind it is not possible to have negative case or deaths. the most interesting aspect is this virus is following a normal distribution from day one. in how it spreads. every deviation can be accounted for using standard SPC procedures of noting significant events and then using the C.A.P. when a failure occurs. standard technique. one valuable lesson I learned years ago was let the process speak do not put words in its mouth.
 
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Magna said:
What is the picture at this point? What is the "truth" and what is the "large puzzle piece"? I'm interested in your explanations based on your analysis, but I'm a laymen so please "dumb it down" for me.
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What I have learned over the years is describing what i can see so clearly in my head is difficult to describe to non visual thinkers. connections between some one else never even ever thought would be connected. Yet so obvious to me.
 
The I thing like so much about SPC is you collect data points and the majority of times no obvious pattern forms until months latter, for example Canadian thanks giving was expected to be
a mess, it may take months before any failures occur. the process speaks slowly and deliberately, you need patience.
 
Ronald Zeeman said:
What I have learned over the years is describing what i can see so clearly in my head is difficult to describe to non visual thinkers. connections between some one else never even ever thought would be connected. Yet so obvious to me.
Click to expand...

I understand what you're saying about having difficulty in explaining things to others about an area of expertise to which you're well versed. I think in pictures. I'm a visual thinker. However I have zero interest in statistics or data analysis.

If you were at a party and you met someone for the first time and they had limited mathematical aptitude and no experience in statistics and they asked you to explain "in plain English", what you've learned about Covid since you've been analyzing the data, what would say to them? Would you speak to them using statistical language?

Can you answer the following sentences or reply with sentences/answers similar to these?

"What have you learned about how Covid affects the unvaccinated vs. the vaccinated?"

"What is the rate of recovery of people who contract Covid and then recover from it?"

"Based on your analysis, what advice would you give to a person in the age group of 30-50 who fears contracting Covid if they're vaccinated?"

"Do you think Covid has a similar mortality rate to Influenza? How similar?"
 
I usually keep to my self, not into small talk. I have no statistics on the unvaccinated attached are the various Z-tables well labeled with the value of interest being the apex results. also same Z-table with value of interest of 1.
 

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Why does a painter paint or a mountain climber climb a mountain, I have spent the majority of my life trying to understand how the universe work, read magazines on the latest break through's, watch lectures on mathematics and physics. Why because it helps me visualize the big picture. I always tell my wife I do not care if any one knows what I see, same with the Covid I desire to see the big picture because it is there and beautiful hw nature organizes it self. One of my friends was in the hospital heart surgery they could not control his pain and balance his O2 levels so I put together a quick control plan. for him to possibly use. My wife had collected data on my 02 level months ago so I entered it as test data. IT formed a perfect bell curve, so satisfying.
I Like this site as I know there are others like me on it see the world through pictures. You will never see the world through our eyes unless you are one of us.
 
If you know the beginning and apex of a gaussian distribution, since it is symmetrical the end point can be calculated. Toronto is days away, Ontario, just before Christmas. It looks like roughly, February, March before the end when Covid becomes endemic.
there is so much information on theses charts. Z-table very useful for goofing around as the mean and standard deviation adjusts daily. every day the picture gets a bit clearer. Toronto and Ontario are converging so they will probably both max. out on the same day. All the data to date points to Dec 21. interesting to see how close my guess is, not far from my best guess a few months ago. Sorry not maxed out but rather when Covid becomes endemic. The maxed out date has already happened.
 
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Z-table for apex's interesting pattern. if you are not vaccinated could be a big issue in the next few
weeks due to Ormagron variation.
 

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Something happening with the death chart, deaths per day and change from previous day converging. I believe to 13.79 deaths per day weird something woke me at 5:00 morning. felt strong urge to put 13.79 in my Z-table for deaths. which I got up and did. It appears all my graphs are converging to sometime in April 2022 when Covid becomes endemic. the first case of Covid in Ontario was Jan. 22, 2020. So my best guess is April 23, 2022. Still a few days before Ontario apex fails. still on for Dec. 21, 2020.
 

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